Home Visits to Prevent Nursing Home Admission and Functional Decline in
Elderly People

Systematic Review and Meta-regression Analysis

JAMA. 2002;287:1022-1028

Author Information <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#aainfo>
Andreas E. Stuck, MD; Matthias Egger, MD; Andreas Hammer; Christoph E.
Minder, PhD; John C. Beck, MD
Context  The effects of home visitation programs to prevent functional
decline in elderly persons have been inconsistent, and the value of these
programs is controversial.
Objective  To evaluate the effect of preventive home visits on functional
status, nursing home admission, and mortality.
Data Sources  Studies published in English, French, German, Italian, or
Spanish reporting randomized trials of the effects of preventive in-home
visits in older people (mean age >70 years) living in the community were
identified through searches of MEDLINE, PSYCHINFO, and EMBASE (January
1985–November 2001). We also searched the Cochrane Controlled Trials
Register, checked reference lists of earlier reviews and book chapters,
searched conference proceedings and specialty journals, and contacted
experts.
Study Selection  We screened 1349 abstracts and excluded those that did not
test in-home interventions or in which the mean age of the study population
was younger than 70 years. After further exclusions, 17 articles describing
18 trials were analyzed.
Data Extraction  Two reviewers independently screened abstracts.
Discrepancies were resolved by consensus with a third reviewer. For each
included trial, we extracted data on the study population and the
characteristics of the intervention. Two of us extracted information on 3
end points: nursing home admissions, mortality, and functional status. One
of us assessed trial quality, including an examination of the method of
randomization, blinding of caregivers and research staff ascertaining
outcomes, and proportion of patients included in analyses of the 3 end
points.
Data Synthesis  The 18 trials included 13 447 individuals aged 65 years and
older. The effect on nursing home admissions depended on the number of
visits performed during follow-up. The pooled relative risk (RR) was 0.66
(95% confidence interval [CI], 0.48-0.92) for trials in the upper tertile
(>9 visits) but was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.85-1.30) in the lower tertile (0-4
visits). Functional decline was reduced in trials that used multidimensional
assessment with follow-up (RR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64-0.91) but not in other
trials (RR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.92-1.11). Functional decline was reduced (RR,
0.78; 95% CI, 0.64-0.95) in trials with a control group mortality rate in
the lower tertile (3.4%-5.8%) but not (RR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.84-1.13) in those
with a control-group mortality rate in the upper tertile (8.3%-10.7%). A
beneficial effect on mortality was evident in younger study populations (RR,
0.76; 95% CI, 0.65-0.88 for ages 72.7-77.5 years) but not in older study
populations (RR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.92-1.28 for ages 80.2-81.6 years).
Conclusion  Preventive home visitation programs appear to be effective,
provided the interventions are based on multidimensional geriatric
assessment and include multiple follow-up home visits and target persons at
lower risk for death. Benefits on survival were seen in young-old rather
than old-old populations.
JAMA. 2002;287:1022-1028
JMA10044
Preventive home visitation programs in elderly people are part of national
policy in several countries, including the United Kingdom, Denmark, and
Australia. 1 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r1>  The
rationale is to delay or prevent functional impairment and subsequent
nursing home admissions by primary prevention (eg, immunization and
exercise), secondary prevention (eg, detection of untreated problems), and
tertiary prevention (eg, improvement of medication use). 2
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r2>  However, the value of
home visitation programs is controversial. Although individual trials and
meta-analyses 3 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r3> , 4
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r4>  suggest that some
programs are effective, there is uncertainty regarding whether they can
prevent functional status decline, which program components are effective,
and which populations are most likely to benefit. 5
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r5> , 6
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r6>
In an earlier analysis of hospital-based comprehensive geriatric assessment
programs, we found that programs including extended ambulatory follow-up
were more effective than other schemes. 3
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r3>  A subgroup analysis of a
trial of a home visitation program suggested that older people with
relatively good functional status at baseline were more likely to benefit. 7
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r7> , 8
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r8>  We confirmed this
hypothesis in a planned analysis of a subsequent trial, which showed
favorable effects among individuals at low risk but not among those at high
risk for nursing home admission. 9
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9>  Finally, evaluation in
the home setting results in a high yield of undetected problems. 10
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r10>  Therefore, it seems
likely that successful programs should include multidimensional geriatric
assessment as a basis for in-home prevention.
We performed an updated meta-analysis to evaluate the effect of preventive
home visits on functional status, nursing home admission, and mortality and
to test the hypotheses that they are beneficial if they are based on
multidimensional geriatric assessment and frequent follow-up visits and
conducted in individuals at low risk of functional decline at baseline.



METHODS



Literature Search and Eligibility Criteria

We aimed to identify all randomized trials of the effects of preventive
in-home visits in older people (mean age >70 years) living in the community.
Published studies were identified through searches of MEDLINE, PSYCHINFO,
and EMBASE (January 1985 to November 2001; key words: aged, home or in-home,
prevention, and geriatric assessment). We also searched the Cochrane
Controlled Trials Register, checked reference lists of earlier reviews and
book chapters, searched conference proceedings and specialty journals, and
contacted experts. Articles published in English, French, German, Italian,
or Spanish were considered. Two reviewers screened abstracts. Discrepancies
were resolved by consensus with a third reviewer.
Data Extraction and Outcome Definition

For each trial, we extracted data on the study population and the
characteristics of the intervention. Programs were classified as being based
on multidimensional geriatric assessment for identification of risk factors
with follow-up if they included a systematic evaluation in medical,
functional, psychosocial, and environmental domains and a follow-up for the
implementation of the intervention plan. 11
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r11>  The average number of
preventive home visits performed and the total duration of the intervention
were also recorded.
For each study, 2 of us extracted information on 3 end points: nursing home
admissions, mortality, and functional status. We recorded the number of
participants admitted to nursing homes (excluding short-term and residential
or board and care-unit admissions) and the number of persons for whom
information about nursing home admissions was available. For mortality, the
number of deaths from all causes and participants with known vital status
were recorded for intervention and control groups. We abstracted the number
of persons with functional status decline. The definition of functional
status was based on activities of daily living or lower or upper extremity
function. If several outcome measures were reported, we used the measure for
which the prevalence of impairment at follow-up was closest to 20%,
corresponding to the disability rate of 19.7% in the elderly US population.
12 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r12>  Four trials used
continuous rather than discrete outcomes and provided their means and SDs.
13-16 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r13>  These results
were converted to an estimate of the risk ratio. 17
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r17>
Original investigators were contacted if published data on study populations
and interventions were incomplete or if reporting of at least 1 of the 3
types of outcome data (functional status, nursing home admissions, and
mortality) was missing or incomplete. Additional unpublished information was
obtained from 9 studies. 13-15
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r13> , 18-23
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r18>
Assessment of Methodological Quality and Statistical Analysis

One of us assessed trial quality by examining the method of randomization,
blinding of caregivers and research staff ascertaining outcomes, and the
proportion of patients included in the analyses of the 3 end points. 24
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r24>
We combined results on the risk ratio scale by using fixed and random
effects models. 25 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r25>  The
degree of intertrial heterogeneity (tau2) was estimated with an iterative
restricted maximum likelihood method. 26
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r26>  A statistical test of
funnel plot asymmetry, which may indicate the presence of publication bias,
was performed. 27 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r27>
Standard tests of homogeneity of risk ratios were also calculated. 26
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r26>  The extent to which 1
or more study-level variables explained heterogeneity in the treatment
effects was then explored by fitting meta-regression models. 26
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r26>  The following variables
were considered: mean age of the study population and mortality rate (per
year) in control groups (indicators of baseline risk), duration of the
intervention, number of home visits, and whether the intervention was based
on multidimensional geriatric assessment with follow-up. Variables relating
to the quality of trials, the geographic location of the study, and groups
of authors were also considered. Fixed effects meta-analysis stratified by
the factors that explained part of the intertrial heterogeneity was then
performed. A random effects model was used to calculate a typical risk
difference, which was converted to the number needed to visit to prevent 1
adverse outcome. In a sensitivity analysis we excluded 1 trial 9
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9>  whose results had been
influential when we formulated study hypotheses.



RESULTS



Identification of Eligible Trials

We screened 1349 abstracts and excluded 1266 studies because they either did
not test in-home interventions or the mean age of the study population was
younger than 70 years. We excluded 29 studies that were based on patients at
hospital discharge, 22 studies that analyzed home visits for therapeutic or
rehabilitative purposes (treatment of depression, support for dementia,
cardiac rehabilitation, stroke rehabilitation, terminal care, exercise
programs, vaccination programs, or pharmacy programs), 12 studies that
tested home care services for disabled persons, and 1 study that did not
include home visits.
Nineteen articles with eligible trials were identified. 7
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r7> , 9
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9> , 13-15
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r13> , 18-23
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r18> , 28-34
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r28>  Two articles were
excluded because no information on relevant outcomes was reported and
attempts to obtain unpublished data from the authors were unsuccessful. 33
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r33> , 34
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r34>  A total of 17 trial
reports with data on 18 trials (1 report included the results of 2 trials)
were available for analysis ( Figure 1
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_f1.html> ).
Characteristics of Trials, Patients, and Interventions

These trials included a total of 13 447 individuals aged 65 years and older.
Study participants were selected from general practice lists and population
or insurance registers ( Table 1
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_t1.html> ). Ten
trials included all individuals older than a certain threshold (between 65
and 75 years). Eight studies had additional selection criteria (eg,
individuals living alone) or excluded some individuals (eg, those receiving
home care). Mean age of study participants at baseline ranged from 72.7
years to 81.6 years. The yearly mortality rates in control groups ranged
from 3.4% to 10.7%. Twelve of the 18 trials were classified as not based on
multidimensional geriatric assessment and follow-up because they did not
include a medical, functional, and psychosocial assessment 16
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r16> , 18
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r18> , 20
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r20> , 22
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r22> , 28-31
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r28>  or because these
assessments were not combined with a follow-up intervention. 15
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r15> , 19
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r19> , 21
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r21>  Reported outcome data
of the individual trials are provided in online Table 1
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_wt1.html> .
Methodological Quality of Trials

Measures of allocation concealment were described for 5 trials. 7
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r7> , 9
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9> , 13-15
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r13>  Randomization was
stratified in several trials, but block sizes were reported only in 2
reports. 9 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9> , 32
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r32>  For 7 trials, 7
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r7> , 9
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9> , 15
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r15> , 16
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r16> , 18
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r18> , 23
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r23> , 30
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r30>  some measures of
blinding were described. The proportion of trials analyzed using intent to
treat without missing outcome data was 72.2% (13/18) for mortality, 69.2%
(9/13) for nursing home admission, and 0% (0/16) for functional status.
Results of a detailed quality assessment are available in online Table 2
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_wt2.html> . In
meta-regression analyses, there was little evidence (P>.10) that these
aspects of methodological quality influenced results. There was also little
evidence of funnel plot asymmetry (P>.10). Finally, results did not differ
significantly according to geographical region or groups of investigators
(P>.10).
Effects on Nursing Home Admission

The analysis was based on 13 trials. Four studies did not report on nursing
home admissions, and in 1 study, no admissions occurred. Overall, the
reduction in the risk of admission was modest and nonsignificant ( Table 2
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_t2.html> ). In
meta-regression analysis, there was evidence of an association of treatment
effect with the number of follow-up visits (P = .05), which explained a
large proportion of intertrial heterogeneity (tau2 was reduced from 0.034 to
0.012). Meta-analysis of trials stratified by tertiles of the number of
follow-up visits is shown in Figure 2
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_f2.html> : the
reduction in admissions is evident only for programs with at least 5
follow-up visits. The estimated reduction in the risk of admission for
trials in the upper tertile (>9 follow-up visits) was 34% (RR, 0.66; 95% CI,
0.48-0.92) and the typical risk difference was 2.3%, for a number needed to
visit of 43.
Effects on Functional Status

Data were available for 16 trials. Overall, preventive home visits appeared
to have little effect on functional status, but results were heterogeneous
( Table 2
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_t2.html> ). In
meta-regression analysis, beneficial effects were associated with
multidimensional geriatric assessment with follow-up (P = .01) and inversely
correlated with control-group mortality (P = .04). In multivariable
analysis, the type of intervention was the more important factor and
explained about half of intertrial heterogeneity (tau2 was reduced from
0.021 to 0.010). Combining trials according to multidimensional assessment
and follow-up resulted in a 24% reduction in the risk of functional decline
(RR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64-0.91) ( Figure 3
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_f3.html> ). The
typical absolute reduction in risk was 6.7%, for a number needed to visit of
15. When trials were analyzed by tertiles of control group mortality, a
beneficial effect on function was evident for the first tertile (5 trials
with annual mortality from 3.4%-5.8%), with an RR of 0.78 (95% CI,
0.64-0.95). The combined RR for the middle tertile (6 trials with mortality
rates from 6.1%-8.2%) was 1.00 (95% CI, 0.89-1.13); for the third tertile,
0.98 (95% CI, 0.84-1.13; 5 trials with mortality from 8.3%-10.7%).
Effects on Mortality

This analysis was based on 18 trials. Preventive home visits appeared to
reduce mortality, but results were again heterogeneous ( Table 2
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_t2.html> ). In
meta-regression analysis, there was strong evidence (P = .004) that the mean
age of study participants was negatively associated with effects on
mortality. Intertrial variance was reduced from 0.021 to 0.003 when age was
included in the model. Meta-analysis of trials stratified by tertiles of age
is shown in Figure 4
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/fig_tab/jma10044_f4.html> : the
reduction of mortality diminishes as mean age approaches 80 years. The
estimated reduction in mortality in the lowest tertile (mean age, 72.7-77.5
years) was 24% (RR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.65-0.88) and the typical risk difference
4.1%, for a number needed to visit of 24.
Sensitivity Analysis

Results were not materially changed after the trial 9
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9>  whose results had
influenced the formulation of study hypotheses was excluded. There was still
evidence supporting the importance of the number of follow-up visits for the
prevention of nursing home admissions (P = .02), of multidimensional
geriatric assessment with follow-up for the prevention of functional decline
(P = .01), and of age as an effect modifier for all-cause mortality (P =
.03). The RRs of nursing home admission (95% CIs) from meta-analysis of
trials stratified by tertiles of the number of follow-up visits were 1.05
(0.85-1.30, lower tertile), 0.81 (0.66-0.99, middle tertile) and 0.66
(0.48-0.92, upper tertile). The RRs for functional status decline was 0.77
(0.62-0.95) if programs included multidimensional geriatric assessment with
follow-up and 1.01 (0.92-1.11) if they did not. Finally, RRs for mortality
from meta-analysis of trials stratified by tertiles of mean age were 0.76
(0.65-0.88, lower tertile), 0.97 (0.89-1.05, middle tertile), and 1.00
(0.83-1.21, upper tertile).



COMMENT



We hypothesized that preventive home visitation programs are effective if
based on multidimensional geriatric assessment with extended follow-up and
if offered to older persons with relatively good function at baseline. Based
on a large number of trials, the findings from our meta-analysis support
these hypotheses and indicate that preventive home visitation programs are
effective only if interventions are based on multidimensional geriatric
assessment, include multiple follow-up home visits, and target persons at
lower risk for death and those who are relatively young.
Our results contrast with those of the recent review by Elkan et al. 4
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r4>  Those authors reported
favorable effects on mortality and nursing home admissions when combining
all types of home-based programs but found no improvement in functional
status, which is inconsistent with the rationale for home visits. The
discrepant results may be explained by differences in the number and type of
studies included. Elkan and colleagues' analysis combined trials of in-home
preventive programs with trials of home-based care coordination programs for
patients discharged from the hospital, whereas our analysis was restricted
to trials of preventive home visitation programs. Furthermore, the authors
did not include 4 recently published randomized trials 9
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9> , 14
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r14> , 15
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r15> , 32
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r32>  and included
quasi-randomized studies. Finally, Elkan et al did not obtain additional
information from the investigators, 4
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r4>  which meant, for
example, that their pooled analysis of functional status was based on 4
studies only, rather than the 16 trials included in our analysis, and that
the power of detecting program effects and explaining heterogeneity was
limited.
In our study, the use of multidimensional geriatric assessment and follow-up
was the most important determinant of program effects on functional status
outcomes. This finding is compatible with the concept that functional status
decline can be delayed or prevented by periodic multidimensional evaluation
for detection of modifiable risk factors and subsequent long-term
intervention to modify these risk factors as well as to identify new risks.
The result that a higher number of follow-up home visits was associated with
a greater reduction of nursing home admissions is consistent with this
concept.
Favorable intervention effects on functional status were also related to a
low underlying mortality rate of the study population, which is compatible
with the hypothesis of better reversibility in the earlier stages of
decline. Preventive programs reduced mortality in the younger study
populations (mean age <80 years) but not in older populations, indicating
that mortality risk was modifiable in the former group but not the latter.
Further studies are required to determine whether, in very old populations,
in-home prevention might affect disability-free survival without prolonging
overall survival. It is noteworthy that the factors associated with effects
on mortality differed from those predicting effects on functional status and
nursing home admissions, which supports the notion that different processes
of care are important in mortality and functional status outcomes. 35
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r35>
These results can be used to approximate the cost implications of preventive
home visits. The lifetime costs for a person admitted to long-term care in a
UK nursing home has been estimated as $65 000 (£42 250). 36
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r36>  We found that the
number needed to visit to prevent 1 admission in programs with frequent
follow-up visits is about 40. Therefore, programs with expenditures of less
than $1500 (£1000) per participant should reduce costs. Furthermore, costs
are approximate and probably not linear over time. We found that preventive
home visits required an initial investment of $433 per person the first year
to produce net savings of $1403 per person annually in the third year. 9
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9>
Our study has limitations because it was based on randomized controlled
trials; the comparisons made in meta-regression analyses are observational.
Meta-analytic subgroup analyses, like subgroup analyses within trials, are
prone to bias and confounding and therefore need to be interpreted with
caution. 37-39 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r37>
Particular caution is required when the data inspire hypotheses. However,
this problem is unlikely to have introduced bias in this study. Both
hypotheses were defined a priori. The hypothesis regarding program
characteristics was generated in a previous meta-analysis of a different set
of trials of hospital-based interventions. 3
<http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r3>  The other hypothesis was
based on a planned subgroup analysis of a trial that was also included in
the present study 9 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r9> ;
however, results were robust after the exclusion of this trial.
Nevertheless, prospective validation of these results is warranted.
Our results have important policy implications. In countries with existing
national programs of preventive home visits, the process and organization of
these visits should be reconsidered according to the criteria identified in
this meta-analysis. In the United States, a system for functional impairment
risk identification and appropriate intervention to prevent or delay
functional impairment should be considered. A variety of health maintenance
organization programs specifically address the care needs of elderly
patients. 40 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r40>  In
addition, an increasing number of chronic-disease management programs have
been introduced. 41-43 <http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v287n8/rfull/#r41>
Grafting the key concepts of home-based preventive care programs into these
programs should be feasible as they continue to evolve and should be
cost-effective. Identifying risks and dealing with them as an essential
component of the care of older persons is central to reducing the emerging
burden of disability and improving the quality of life in elderly people.



Author/Article Information


Author Affiliations: Department of Geriatrics and Rehabilitation, Spital
Bern Ziegler, Bern, Switzerland (Dr Stuck and Mr Hammer); MRC Health
Services Research Collaboration, Department of Social Medicine, University
of Bristol, Bristol, England (Dr Egger); Department of Social and Preventive
Medicine, University of Bern, Switzerland (Dr Minder); and University of
California, Los Angeles School of Medicine (Dr Beck).

Corresponding Author: Andreas E. Stuck, MD, Zentrum
Geriatrie-Rehabilitation, Spital Bern Ziegler, Morillonstrasse 75, CH-3001,
Bern, Switzerland (e-mail: [log in to unmask]
<mailto:[log in to unmask]> ).
Reprints not available from the authors.
Author Contributions: Study concept and design: Stuck, Egger, Minder, Beck.
Acquisition of data: Stuck, Hammer.
Analysis and interpretation of data: Stuck, Egger, Hammer, Minder, Beck.
Drafting of the manuscript: Stuck, Egger, Beck.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content:
Stuck, Egger, Hammer, Minder, Beck.
Statistical expertise: Egger, Minder.
Obtained funding: Stuck.
Administrative, technical, or material support: Hammer, Beck.
Study supervision: Stuck.
Funding/Support: This project was supported by grants from the Swiss
National Science Foundation (32-52804.97), the Swiss Federal Office for
Education and Research (BBW990311.1 and QLK6-CT-1999-02205), and the Swiss
Foundation for Health Promotion (398).
Acknowledgment: We would like to thank the authors who provided additional
data and Gerhard Gillman, Eva Gerber, MD, Daniel Weyermann, MD, and Jutta
Walthert, MD, for help with the literature search.




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Edward E. Rylander, M.D.
Diplomat American Board of Family Practice.
Diplomat American Board of Palliative Medicine.